diff --git a/tools/opportunity-origin-active-confirmation.php b/tools/opportunity-origin-active-confirmation.php
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..d804b11d
--- /dev/null
+++ b/tools/opportunity-origin-active-confirmation.php
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
+<?php
+
+// Direct PDO reader: no application kernel, migrations, seeders or active writes.
+require __DIR__.'/investmoz-v2-territory-audit.php';
+$directory = dirname(__DIR__).'/storage/app/private/investmoz-v2';
+$backup = json_decode(file_get_contents($directory.'/opportunity-origin-backup-proof.json'), true, 512, JSON_THROW_ON_ERROR);
+$pdo->exec('BEGIN TRANSACTION ISOLATION LEVEL REPEATABLE READ READ ONLY');
+$identity = $pdo->query("SELECT current_database() AS database,inet_server_port() AS port,current_setting('transaction_read_only') AS read_only")->fetch(PDO::FETCH_ASSOC);
+$events = $pdo->query("SELECT id,actor_user_id,occurred_at,before_data,after_data FROM audit_events WHERE source_system='opportunity-origin-review' ORDER BY occurred_at,id")->fetchAll(PDO::FETCH_ASSOC);
+$records = $pdo->query("SELECT o.id,o.reference,o.title,o.status,COALESCE((SELECT a.after_data->>'classification' FROM audit_events a WHERE a.source_system='opportunity-origin-review' AND a.after_data->>'opportunity_id'=o.id::text ORDER BY a.occurred_at DESC,a.id DESC LIMIT 1),'undetermined') AS classification FROM opportunities o WHERE o.id BETWEEN 1 AND 6 ORDER BY o.id")->fetchAll(PDO::FETCH_ASSOC);
+foreach ($records as &$record) {
+    $record['public_scope_included'] = $record['status'] === 'published' && $record['classification'] !== 'example';
+}
+unset($record);
+$checks = [];
+foreach (['opportunities','opportunity_projects','opportunity_clusters','opportunity_favourites','interest_requests','interest_submission_receipts','investment_messages','tasks','project_locations','cluster_projects'] as $table) {
+    $key = '"public"."'.$table.'"';
+    $rows = $pdo->query('SELECT row_to_json(t)::text AS row FROM '.$key.' t ORDER BY row_to_json(t)::text')->fetchAll(PDO::FETCH_COLUMN);
+    $hash = hash('sha256', implode("\n", $rows));
+    $checks[$table] = ['matches_backup' => $hash === ($backup['table_hashes'][$key] ?? null), 'hash' => $hash, 'rows' => count($rows)];
+}
+$pdo->exec('ROLLBACK');
+$proof = ['captured_at' => gmdate('c'), 'identity' => $identity, 'records' => $records, 'audit' => $events, 'preservation' => $checks, 'active_writes' => 0];
+file_put_contents($directory.'/opportunity-origin-active-confirmation.json', json_encode($proof, JSON_PRETTY_PRINT | JSON_THROW_ON_ERROR));
+echo json_encode($proof, JSON_PRETTY_PRINT | JSON_THROW_ON_ERROR).PHP_EOL;